Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.379535 3.583812 3.800813 4.049671 4.328671 4.633599 4.994543
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.175171 3.459983 3.777895 4.163184 4.623331 5.163162 5.856882
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.048001 3.399532 3.809242 4.331426 4.994008 5.829267 7.003036
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.828902 3.208478 3.665117 4.269830 5.074927 6.152739 7.793604
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.628109 3.021418 3.507031 4.171229 5.093475 6.397886 8.544587
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.470754 2.875445 3.387099 4.108394 5.151426 6.710755 9.500885
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.341816 2.755767 3.290627 4.066339 5.233026 7.077676 10.690564
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.268897 2.703129 3.278099 4.139746 5.497884 7.801117 12.901284
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.128020 2.551089 3.118283 3.982816 5.379930 7.843170 13.713061
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.060643 2.493947 3.086123 4.013106 5.572567 8.506993 16.494146
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.991698 2.430216 3.039529 4.015975 5.719564 9.129828 19.809770
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.898397 2.327485 2.929567 3.908104 5.653929 9.289386 21.846415
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.792283 2.209904 2.802791 3.782911 5.580333 9.516021 25.096512
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.751875 2.183483 2.810092 3.880911 5.956467 11.015481 39.442253
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.724252 2.173757 2.842211 4.027110 6.475218 13.307308 86.618659
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.654355 2.097724 2.765183 3.971108 6.550238 14.342909 170.755110
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.583736 2.017029 2.675469 3.882828 6.536814 15.107876 469.505841
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.525171 1.951638 2.606300 3.826290 6.591411 16.250930 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.474764 1.896181 2.549791 3.788281 6.687491 17.749960 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.446655 1.873399 2.545625 3.852301 7.071291 21.380930 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.385209 1.796161 2.445351 3.713212 6.866864 21.327314 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.355987 1.767983 2.426717 3.739516 7.145802 25.202072 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.324754 1.735158 2.397969 3.741672 7.358669 29.432270 NaN